Will Trump say "Eli Lilly" during Ohio visit?

Market suggests low likelihood of Trump mentioning 'Eli Lilly' in Ohio visit.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Trump saying 'Eli Lilly' during his Ohio visit, with a probability of only 1.80% for a YES outcome. In contrast, the Pulse AI model estimates a slightly higher probability of 6.3%, suggesting some divergence in expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The difference between market and AI probabilities indicates potential market inefficiencies.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate, suggesting some uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 The edge of 4.5 implies the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding an element of unpredictability.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Ohio on March 11, 2026 (https://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/politics/2026/03/06/president-donald-trump-will-be-in-cincinnati-wednesday/89023375007/?gnt-cfr=1&gca-cat=p&gca-uir=true&gca-epti=z117665p001850l001050c001850e1108xxv117665d--48--b--48--&gca-ft=228&gca-ds=sophi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the events in Ohio scheduled for March 11, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's Ohio visit scheduled for March 11, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's re