The market shows a strong consensus that Trump will not say 'Excursion' during the trophy presentation.
Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that Trump will not use the word 'Excursion' during the trophy presentation. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of the event occurring. Given the confidence level of 85/100, the market appears to be fairly priced with minimal room for significant shifts.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a trophy presentation on March 20, 2026 (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CZDPc4dfqQyeoJc9mqjdj).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the trophy presentation event scheduled for March 20, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's trophy presentation event scheduled for March 20, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolv