Will Trump say "Fake news" during Memphis Roundtable?

Market leans towards Trump saying 'Fake news' at the Memphis Roundtable.

The prediction market shows a strong probability of 68.50% for Trump saying 'Fake news' during the Memphis Roundtable. However, the Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 59.5%, indicating some uncertainty. The edge of -9 suggests that there is insufficient data for a confident assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a 'Yes' outcome.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI indicates mixed confidence.
• 3 Historical context may influence Trump's likelihood of using the phrase.
• 4 Market liquidity appears moderate, affecting bet sizes.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to predictions.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Memphis Safe Task Force Roundtable on March 23, 2026, 1PM ET (https://www.commercialappeal.com/story/news/local/2026/03/17/president-trump-to-visit-memphis-tn/89201228007/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026, 1PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is no