Will Trump say "Fertilizer" during National Agriculture Day events?

Market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Fertilizer' at events.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.6% for Trump not saying 'Fertilizer', while the AI model estimates a much lower probability of 4.9% for the same outcome. This discrepancy suggests that while the market is confident in the NO outcome, the AI model sees a slight chance for YES, indicating potential uncertainty or differing interpretations of Trump's speech patterns.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO outcome at 99.6%.
• 2 AI model suggests a small chance of YES at 4.9%.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding an element of unpredictability.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event celebrating National Agriculture Day on March 27, 2026 (https://washingtonreporter.news/exclusive-white-house-unveils-trumps-pro-farmer-agenda-ahead-of-national-agriculture-day/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event i