Market predicts Trump will not say 'Gulf of America' during his Ohio visit.
The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Trump using the phrase 'Gulf of America' during his Ohio visit, with a probability of only 1.5% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood of 6% for this event, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Ohio on March 11, 2026 (https://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/politics/2026/03/06/president-donald-trump-will-be-in-cincinnati-wednesday/89023375007/?gnt-cfr=1&gca-cat=p&gca-uir=true&gca-epti=z117665p001850l001050c001850e1108xxv117665d--48--b--48--&gca-ft=228&gca-ds=sophi).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the events in Ohio scheduled for March 11, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's Ohio visit scheduled for March 11, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's re