Will Trump say "Hillary" or "Clinton" this week? (March 22)

Trump is very likely to say 'Hillary' or 'Clinton' this week.

The market shows a 100% probability that Trump will use the name 'Hillary' or 'Clinton' this week, supported by a high AI probability of 96%. With a confidence rating of 85/100 and a time to expiry of 120 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -4.

• 1 Market indicates strong consensus on Trump's likely language this week.
• 2 High AI probability suggests robust predictive confidence.
• 3 Fair pricing indicates limited potential for market mispricing.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Current political climate may influence Trump's choice of words.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not