Will Trump say "Hiroshima" or "Nagasaki" during events with Japanese PM?

Market predicts Trump will not mention Hiroshima or Nagasaki with the Japanese PM.

The market shows a strong consensus against Trump saying either term during his events with the Japanese Prime Minister, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of him using these terms, which suggests a stable sentiment among participants.

• 1 Current market sentiment is firmly against Trump mentioning Hiroshima or Nagasaki.
• 2 The probability from Pulse AI aligns closely with market expectations.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 85/100 suggests strong conviction in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in events with the Prime Minister of Japan on March 19, 2026 (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Japanese Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, on March 19, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Sanae Takaichi on March 19, 2026. All such events featuring both on this dat