Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Monday press conference?

The market predicts Trump will say 'Hormuz' at the upcoming press conference.

With a market probability of 100% for Trump saying 'Hormuz', there is strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI probability of 97.5% further supports this prediction, indicating high confidence in the outcome.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in Trump mentioning 'Hormuz'.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 The edge of -2.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 High confidence level indicates strong belief in the prediction.
• 5 Unknown time to expiry may affect market dynamics leading up to the event.

Donald Trump is scheduled to host a press conference on March 9, 2026 at 5:30PM ET (https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-he-will-hold-press-conference-monday-2026-03-09/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying E