Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Red Sea" during Ohio visit?

The market strongly favors Trump not saying either term during his Ohio visit.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that Trump will not use the terms 'Hormuz' or 'Red Sea' during his visit to Ohio. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slight chance of him mentioning one of these terms, but overall confidence remains high that he will not. This indicates a consensus among participants that such terminology is unlikely to arise in his speech.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against Trump using the terms.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a very low probability of him mentioning either term.
• 3 Current confidence level is high at 80 out of 100.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5.
• 5 Time to expiry for the market is currently unknown.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Ohio on March 11, 2026 (https://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/politics/2026/03/06/president-donald-trump-will-be-in-cincinnati-wednesday/89023375007/?gnt-cfr=1&gca-cat=p&gca-uir=true&gca-epti=z117665p001850l001050c001850e1108xxv117665d--48--b--48--&gca-ft=228&gca-ds=sophi).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the events in Ohio scheduled for March 11, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's Ohio visit scheduled for March 11, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's re