Will Trump say "ID" or "Identification" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Market predicts Trump will say 'ID' at the NRCC Dinner with high certainty.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that Trump will use the term 'ID' instead of 'Identification' at the NRCC Dinner, with a 100% probability. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 97.5%, indicating that the market is fairly priced with minimal edge.

• 1 Current market probability is at 100% for 'ID'.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a 97.5% likelihood for the same outcome.
• 3 The market appears to be fairly priced with a -2.5 edge.
• 4 High confidence level of 90/100 indicates strong market belief.
• 5 No time to expiry is specified, adding uncertainty to final outcomes.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 202