Will Trump say "ID" or "Identification" during Memphis Roundtable?

High probability that Trump will use 'ID' or 'Identification' at the Memphis Roundtable.

The market shows a strong consensus with a 99.85% probability that Trump will say either 'ID' or 'Identification' during the Memphis Roundtable. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 95.85%, indicating a high level of confidence among participants. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting limited room for significant shifts in sentiment.

• 1 Market probability is extremely high at 99.85%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns at 95.85%.
• 3 The edge of -4 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 5 Uncertainty about the time to expiry may affect market dynamics.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Memphis Safe Task Force Roundtable on March 23, 2026, 1PM ET (https://www.commercialappeal.com/story/news/local/2026/03/17/president-trump-to-visit-memphis-tn/89201228007/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026, 1PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is no