Will Trump say "Illegal Alien" during National Agriculture Day events?

Market predicts Trump will not say 'Illegal Alien' during events with high certainty.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Trump using the term 'Illegal Alien' at National Agriculture Day events, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The AI model suggests a slight chance of 4.5% for 'YES', indicating some uncertainty but overall alignment with market sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against the use of the term.
• 2 AI probability suggests a small chance of deviation from market consensus.
• 3 Market appears to be fairly priced with a low edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding potential volatility to predictions.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event celebrating National Agriculture Day on March 27, 2026 (https://washingtonreporter.news/exclusive-white-house-unveils-trumps-pro-farmer-agenda-ahead-of-national-agriculture-day/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event i