Will Trump say "IQ" this week? (March 8)

The market strongly predicts Trump will not say 'IQ' this week.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that Trump will not use the term 'IQ' this week. The AI probability aligns closely, suggesting minimal likelihood of a change. The high confidence level reflects a strong consensus among participants.

• 1 Market shows a definitive NO consensus at 100%.
• 2 AI probability slightly suggests a chance of YES at 1.5%.
• 3 High confidence score indicates strong market stability.
• 4 No imminent events are likely to influence Trump's language.
• 5 Historical trends show low frequency of Trump using 'IQ' in speeches.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qu