Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Monday press conference?

High probability that Trump will mention 'Iran' 5+ times at the press conference.

The prediction market shows a 99.75% probability that Trump will say 'Iran' five or more times during the upcoming press conference, indicating strong sentiment on this outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this with a 97.25% probability, suggesting a consensus among analysts. The edge of -2.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a high mention of 'Iran'.
• 2 Analysts show strong agreement with the market's prediction.
• 3 The market is considered fairly priced with minimal edge.
• 4 Confidence level is relatively high at 80 out of 100.
• 5 The time to expiry for the market remains unknown, adding uncertainty.

Donald Trump is scheduled to host a press conference on March 9, 2026 at 5:30PM ET (https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-he-will-hold-press-conference-monday-2026-03-09/.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's press conference scheduled for March 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying E