High likelihood Trump will mention 'Iran' 7+ times at the Memphis Roundtable.
The prediction market shows a strong consensus that Trump will mention 'Iran' at least seven times during the Memphis Roundtable, with a market probability of 98.70%. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a probability of 94.7%, indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome. The edge of -4 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment and analysis.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Memphis Safe Task Force Roundtable on March 23, 2026, 1PM ET (https://www.commercialappeal.com/story/news/local/2026/03/17/president-trump-to-visit-memphis-tn/89201228007/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026, 1PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is no