Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

The market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Job' 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood that Trump will not use the word 'Job' 15 or more times during his speech at the NRCC Dinner. The AI model suggests a slightly higher chance for this occurrence, but overall confidence remains strong in the NO outcome. The market appears to be fairly priced based on the edge analysis.

• 1 Market probability for NO is extremely high at 99.95%.
• 2 AI probability suggests a small chance of YES at 1.55%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 85/100 reflects strong sentiment against the YES outcome.
• 5 No specific time to expiry is provided, adding uncertainty to market dynamics.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 202