Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 7+ times during Miami address?

Market predicts Trump will not say 'Joe' or 'Biden' 7+ times in Miami address.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that Trump will not mention 'Joe' or 'Biden' seven or more times during his Miami address, with a probability of 100% for 'NO'. The AI model also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES', indicating a minor discrepancy but overall confidence in the market's pricing.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' at 100%.
• 2 AI model suggests a low chance of 'YES' at 1.5%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.5.
• 4 High confidence level of 90/100 indicates strong belief in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to market dynamics.

Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference on March 9, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President delivers Remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference" scheduled for March 9, 2026, at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM