Will Trump say "Kurd" or "Kurdish" during Kentucky visit?

The market strongly favors Trump not saying either term during his visit.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood that Trump will not use the terms 'Kurd' or 'Kurdish' during his Kentucky visit. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for both outcomes, suggesting a minor divergence in expectations.

• 1 Market probability for 'YES' is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 1.55%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 85/100, reflecting strong consensus.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the market dynamics.

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Kentucky on March 11, 2026 (https://www.wkyt.com/2026/03/08/president-trump-visit-northern-kentucky-wednesday/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the events in Kentucky scheduled for March 11, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's Kentucky visit scheduled for March 11, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes