Will Trump say "Medal of Honor" this week? (March 22)

Market leans towards Trump not saying 'Medal of Honor' this week.

The prediction market shows a higher probability for Trump not saying 'Medal of Honor' this week, with a 59.5% chance for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a consensus that suggests limited likelihood of the phrase being mentioned.

• 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 59.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is closely aligned with market sentiment.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is 119 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not