Will Trump say "MIGA" or "Make Iran Great Again" this week? (March 15)

Market favors Trump not saying 'MIGA' this week.

The prediction market shows a strong preference for Trump not using the phrase 'MIGA' this week, with a probability of 86.5% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a consensus that the phrase is unlikely to be mentioned soon.

• 1 Current market probability indicates low expectation for 'MIGA' mention.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance than the market.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 5.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is immediate, adding urgency to the market dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not q