Will Trump say "New York" during Taoiseach events?

Market favors Trump not saying 'New York' at Taoiseach events.

The prediction market indicates a higher likelihood that Trump will not mention 'New York' during Taoiseach events, with a probability of 66.5% for a NO outcome. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment, suggesting a consensus on the expected behavior of Trump in this context.

• 1 Current market probability shows a strong NO sentiment.
• 2 Pulse AI slightly favors YES but remains close to market odds.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding unpredictability to the market.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland on March 17, 2026 (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Taoiseach, Michaél Martin, on March 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Michaél Martin. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or