Will Trump say "No No No" this week? (March 22)

High probability that Trump will say 'No No No' this week.

The market shows a strong consensus with a 97.5% probability for Trump saying 'No No No' this week. However, the AI probability suggests a slightly lower confidence at 92%, indicating potential undervaluation of the NO side by 5.5 points. With 120 hours until expiry, market dynamics could shift based on upcoming events.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a YES outcome.
• 2 The NO side is perceived as undervalued, indicating potential for adjustment.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 120 hours, increasing urgency.
• 5 Market dynamics may shift rapidly with new information or events.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not