Market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Nuclear' at events.
The prediction market indicates a high probability (99.45%) that Trump will not use the term 'Nuclear' during National Agriculture Day events. In contrast, the Pulse AI suggests a much lower probability (5.05%) for the same outcome, highlighting a significant divergence in expectations. The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5, indicating a moderate level of confidence in the current probabilities.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event celebrating National Agriculture Day on March 27, 2026 (https://washingtonreporter.news/exclusive-white-house-unveils-trumps-pro-farmer-agenda-ahead-of-national-agriculture-day/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event i