Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Trump is highly likely to say 'Oil', 'Gas', or 'Gasoline' at the NRCC Dinner.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that Trump will mention 'Oil', 'Gas', or 'Gasoline' at the NRCC Dinner. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 97.45%, suggesting strong consensus among participants. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -2.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of Trump mentioning one of the terms.
• 2 The high probability reflects strong expectations based on Trump's past speeches.
• 3 Historical trends show that Trump frequently discusses energy topics.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is not a factor as the event date is fixed.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 202