Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Taoiseach events?

Market indicates low probability of Trump saying 'Peace in the Middle East' at Taoiseach events.

The market shows a strong inclination towards a 'NO' outcome, with an 84% probability against Trump making the statement. However, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 22% for a 'YES', indicating potential undervaluation of the YES side. This discrepancy may reflect differing interpretations of Trump's rhetoric or upcoming events.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The YES side is considered undervalued by 6 points.
• 3 Pulse AI shows a higher probability for a 'YES' than the market.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 5 The time to expiry for the market is currently unknown.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with the Taoiseach of Ireland on March 17, 2026 (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Taoiseach, Michaél Martin, on March 17, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Michaél Martin. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or