Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 8)

Market predicts Trump will not say 'Peanut' this week with high confidence.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Trump will not use the word 'Peanut' this week, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The AI probability aligns closely with the market, suggesting that the current pricing reflects a well-informed consensus on this outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' at 100%.
• 2 AI probability suggests a slight chance of 'YES' at 1.5%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 High confidence level of 95/100 suggests strong consensus among participants.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qu