Will Trump say "President Xi" during Miami address?

The market strongly favors Trump not saying 'President Xi' in his Miami address.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that Trump will not use the phrase 'President Xi' during his Miami address. The Pulse AI model suggests a slightly higher chance of 1.55% for a YES outcome, indicating some divergence in expectations. The overall confidence level of 85/100 suggests a strong belief in the NO outcome being accurate.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 1.55%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 85/100 reflects strong conviction in the NO prediction.
• 5 Unknown time to expiry may affect market dynamics as the address approaches.

Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference on March 9, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President delivers Remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference" scheduled for March 9, 2026, at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM