Will Trump say "Regime Change" this week? (March 29)

The market strongly predicts Trump will say 'Regime Change' this week.

With a market probability of 100% for a 'YES' and an AI probability of 96%, there is strong consensus that Trump will use the phrase 'Regime Change' within the week. The edge of -4 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a high level of confidence in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of a 'YES'.
• 2 The AI probability closely aligns with the market probability.
• 3 There is a high confidence level of 75/100 in this prediction.
• 4 The time to expiry is relatively short at 102 hours.
• 5 Market appears to be efficiently priced with minimal edge.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not