Will Trump say "Roadside Bomb" this week? (March 22)

High probability Trump will say 'Roadside Bomb' this week.

The market shows a very high probability of 99.95% for Trump saying 'Roadside Bomb' this week, indicating strong sentiment among participants. The Pulse AI also supports this with a probability of 95.95%, suggesting that the market is well-aligned with AI predictions. Given the edge of -4, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability indicates overwhelming confidence in the outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 The edge suggests no significant mispricing in the market.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 120 hours.
• 5 Current political climate may influence Trump's language choices.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not