Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" 3+ times during Memphis Roundtable?

Market favors Trump saying neither term frequently at the Memphis Roundtable.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Trump will not use the terms 'Scam' or 'Fraud' three or more times during the Memphis Roundtable, with a probability of 84.5% for 'NO'. However, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood for 'YES' at 21.5%, indicating potential undervaluation of that outcome.

• 1 Current market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 84.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a higher likelihood for 'YES' at 21.5%.
• 3 The edge of 6 points indicates potential undervaluation of the 'YES' side.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding to the unpredictability of the market.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Memphis Safe Task Force Roundtable on March 23, 2026, 1PM ET (https://www.commercialappeal.com/story/news/local/2026/03/17/president-trump-to-visit-memphis-tn/89201228007/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026, 1PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is no