Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?

Market predicts Trump will say 'Shutdown' or 'Shut down' at the meeting.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that Trump will use either 'Shutdown' or 'Shut down' during the Cabinet meeting, with a 100% probability for 'YES'. The AI probability aligns closely, indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome, although the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability is at 100%, indicating unanimous expectation.
• 2 AI probability suggests strong confidence but with a slight margin for error.
• 3 The edge of -4 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding an element of unpredictability.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Cabinet meeting on March 26, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Cabinet meeting scheduled for March 26, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Cabinet meeting scheduled for March 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

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