Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during Miami address?

The market strongly predicts Trump will not use the phrase 'Sleepy Joe' in his Miami address.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that Trump will not say 'Sleepy Joe' during his Miami address. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood of 1.5% for this phrase being used, suggesting a consensus against its occurrence. The edge of 1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on available data.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against the phrase being used.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a very low chance of Trump saying 'Sleepy Joe'.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates fair market pricing.
• 4 High confidence level of 90/100 suggests strong analyst conviction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference on March 9, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President delivers Remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference" scheduled for March 9, 2026, at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM