Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 15)

Market strongly predicts Trump will say 'Sleepy Joe' this week.

The market shows a 100% probability for Trump saying 'Sleepy Joe' this week, indicating unanimous sentiment among participants. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a slight chance of him not using the phrase, indicating potential undervaluation of the NO side. With 62 hours until expiry, there remains time for sentiment to shift.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of a YES outcome.
• 2 The NO side is considered undervalued by 5.5 points based on AI analysis.
• 3 Confidence in the prediction stands at 60 out of 100, indicating moderate certainty.
• 4 The market has 62 hours remaining, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Historical patterns suggest Trump frequently uses nicknames in public discourse.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not q