Will Trump say "SNAP" or "Food Stamp" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Market strongly favors Trump not saying 'SNAP' or 'Food Stamp' at the dinner.

The prediction market shows a high probability (99.55%) that Trump will not say either term at the NRCC Dinner, contrasting with a lower AI probability of 4.95% for 'YES.' This suggests that while the market is confident in its stance, there remains a notable divergence in AI analysis, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.

• 1 Market probability indicates strong confidence in a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 AI probability suggests a significantly lower chance for 'YES.'
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding to unpredictability.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 202