Will Trump say "State of the Union" or "State of Union" during Women's History Month event?

Market strongly favors Trump not saying 'State of Union' during the event.

The prediction market indicates a high probability (99.5%) that Trump will not use the phrase 'State of Union' during the Women's History Month event. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a low probability (5%) to the alternative. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors the 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood for 'YES'.
• 3 Market edge suggests fair pricing with minimal expected movement.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding to unpredictability.

Donald Trump is scheduled to host an event for Women's History Month on March 12, 2026 (https://x.com/KellieMeyerNews/status/2031434734954229899).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Women's History Month event scheduled for March 12, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's Women's History Month event scheduled for March 12, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-"