Will Trump say "Stock market" this week? (March 15)

Market predicts Trump will say 'Stock market' this week with high confidence.

The market shows a strong consensus that Trump will mention 'Stock market' this week, with a 100% probability for YES. However, the AI probability suggests a slight undervaluation of the NO side, indicating potential for market adjustment.

• 1 Current market probability for YES is at 100%, indicating strong belief in the outcome.
• 2 AI probability suggests a 5.5% chance for the NO side, indicating potential market mispricing.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 72 hours, increasing urgency in market dynamics.
• 5 Historical patterns may influence Trump's speech topics, particularly around economic events.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 9, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not q