Will Trump say "Stupid" or "Idiot" during Memphis Roundtable?

Market leans towards Trump not using 'Stupid' or 'Idiot' in Memphis.

The prediction market indicates a higher probability that Trump will not use the terms 'Stupid' or 'Idiot' during the Memphis Roundtable, with a 65.5% chance for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a cautious approach to this prediction due to insufficient data.

• 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 65.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a slight tilt towards 'YES' at 38%.
• 3 Edge of 3.5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.
• 4 Confidence level at 55/100 reflects moderate uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding to the unpredictability of the market.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Memphis Safe Task Force Roundtable on March 23, 2026, 1PM ET (https://www.commercialappeal.com/story/news/local/2026/03/17/president-trump-to-visit-memphis-tn/89201228007/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's Memphis Roundtable scheduled for March 23, 2026, 1PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is no