Will Trump say "Swing State" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

The market strongly predicts Trump will say 'Swing State' at the NRCC Dinner.

With a market probability of 100% for 'YES', there is a strong consensus that Trump will use the phrase 'Swing State' during his speech. The Pulse AI probability supports this, indicating a high level of confidence in the prediction. The edge of -2.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in Trump's use of the phrase.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 High confidence level suggests strong belief in the prediction.
• 5 No imminent time pressure noted for this event.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 202