Market strongly favors Trump saying 'Tariff' or 'Tax' 20+ times during events.
The market indicates a high probability of Trump using the terms 'Tariff' or 'Tax' frequently during National Agriculture Day events, with a consensus probability of 92.25%. However, the NO side appears undervalued by 5.5 points, suggesting some uncertainty in this prediction despite the overall confidence level of 60 out of 100.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event celebrating National Agriculture Day on March 27, 2026 (https://washingtonreporter.news/exclusive-white-house-unveils-trumps-pro-farmer-agenda-ahead-of-national-agriculture-day/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event i