Will Trump say "Too Big to Rig" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

The market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Too Big to Rig' at the NRCC Dinner.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that Trump will not use the phrase at the event, while the AI model suggests a slightly higher chance of 3.05% for a YES outcome. The overall confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the predictions, suggesting that the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in a NO outcome.
• 2 AI model predicts a slightly higher chance for a YES than the market.
• 3 Current sentiment reflects a strong belief that Trump will not use the phrase.
• 4 The edge of 3 suggests the market is well-aligned with expectations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the prediction.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver keynote remarks at the NRCC Dinner on March 25, 2026 (https://www.nrcc.org/2026/02/11/nrcc-announces-president-trump-as-keynote-speaker-for-2026-presidents-dinner/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the NRCC Dinner scheduled for March 25, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 25, 202