Will Trump say "Too Late" this week? (March 22)

Market strongly favors Trump saying 'Too Late' this week.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that Trump will say 'Too Late' this week, while the AI model suggests a slightly lower probability of 94.5%. This discrepancy indicates that the NO side may be undervalued by 5.5 points, reflecting a moderate level of uncertainty with a confidence rating of 55 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a YES outcome.
• 2 AI probability suggests a significant chance for a NO outcome.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate, indicating potential volatility.
• 4 The time to expiry is relatively short at 111 hours.
• 5 Recent trends in Trump's communication style may influence outcomes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not