Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" this week? (March 8)

Market shows no expectation of Trump saying 'Tough Negotiator' this week.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Trump using the phrase 'Tough Negotiator' this week, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a very low likelihood of the phrase being used, indicating that the market is fairly priced with high confidence.

• 1 Current market probability for 'YES' is 0%, indicating no expectation.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slight chance of 1.5% for 'YES', but overall consensus is 'NO'.
• 3 High confidence level of 95/100 reflects strong market sentiment.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qu