High probability that Trump will say 'Tractor' during National Agriculture Day events.
The prediction market shows a 99.95% probability that Trump will use the word 'Tractor' at National Agriculture Day events, indicating strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also supports this with a 95.95% probability, suggesting a high level of confidence in this outcome. The edge of -4 indicates that the market is fairly priced relative to the AI's assessment.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event celebrating National Agriculture Day on March 27, 2026 (https://washingtonreporter.news/exclusive-white-house-unveils-trumps-pro-farmer-agenda-ahead-of-national-agriculture-day/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the National Agriculture Day event scheduled for March 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event i