Will Trump say "Trade" or "Tariff" 3+ times during events with Japanese PM?

Market predicts Trump will say 'Trade' or 'Tariff' 3+ times with Japanese PM.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that Trump will mention 'Trade' or 'Tariff' at least three times during events with the Japanese Prime Minister. With a market probability of 100% and a high confidence level of 85, the sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of this outcome. The AI probability supports this, indicating a slight edge in favor of the market's pricing.

• 1 Market probability indicates strong belief in the outcome.
• 2 AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level suggests a solid consensus among participants.
• 4 Edge of -2.5 indicates fair market pricing.
• 5 No time to expiry may lead to volatility in predictions.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in events with the Prime Minister of Japan on March 19, 2026 (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Japanese Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, on March 19, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Sanae Takaichi on March 19, 2026. All such events featuring both on this dat