Will Trump say "Transgender" during Miami address?

The market predicts Trump will say 'Transgender' in his Miami address with high certainty.

The prediction market shows a 100% probability for Trump saying 'Transgender' during his Miami address, indicating strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also supports this with a 97.5% probability, suggesting minimal uncertainty. The edge of -2.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on available data.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in the prediction.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 No significant liquidity issues are noted in this market.
• 4 Historical trends suggest Trump often addresses controversial topics.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding some uncertainty to the prediction.

Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference on March 9, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President delivers Remarks to the Republican Members Issues Conference" scheduled for March 9, 2026, at 4:35 PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 9, 2026, 11:59 PM