Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)

The market shows a strong consensus that Trump will not say 'Transgender' this week.

With a market probability of 0% for 'YES' and 100% for 'NO', there is a clear expectation that Trump will not use the term this week. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, indicating a very low chance of him saying 'Transgender'.

• 1 Market reflects a strong consensus against Trump using the term this week.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a very low likelihood of the term being mentioned.
• 3 High confidence level indicates stability in market sentiment.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues noted in this prediction market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to future probabilities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qu