Market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Where are you' during the event.
The prediction market shows a 99.95% probability that Trump will not say 'Where are you' during the Women's History Month event, indicating a strong consensus against this occurrence. In contrast, the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 4.55% for a YES outcome, reflecting some uncertainty. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.
Donald Trump is scheduled to host an event for Women's History Month on March 12, 2026 (https://x.com/KellieMeyerNews/status/2031434734954229899).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Women's History Month event scheduled for March 12, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's Women's History Month event scheduled for March 12, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-"