Will Trump talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in March?

Market suggests Trump is unlikely to talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in March.

The prediction market shows a higher probability for a 'NO' outcome regarding Trump's conversation with Ahmed al-Sharaa, with a market probability of 65.5% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a consensus on the likelihood of no communication occurring.

• 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 65.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly more optimistic for 'YES' at 36%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is 521 hours, allowing for potential developments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.