Will Trump visit China by October 31?

The market strongly predicts Trump will not visit China by October 31.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that Trump will not visit China by the end of October. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a low probability of 1.5% for a visit. Overall, the market appears fairly priced given the current confidence level of 85 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against a visit.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in predictions.
• 4 No imminent events likely to change current probabilities.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect market responsiveness to new information.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.