Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Low probability for Trump visiting Greenland by March 31.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that Trump will not visit Greenland, with a 97.85% probability for 'NO'. The AI probability is slightly higher for 'YES' at 6.65%, suggesting some uncertainty but overall consensus aligns with the market's stance.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests market confidence in the prediction.
• 3 AI probabilities indicate a slight divergence from market expectations.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.